Author: bill28099
Date: 2009-10-08 15:02
<I would be interested to see the estimates of the number of players of different kinds of instruments in the U.S.>
OK, let's try this little game again. First there are 307,000,000 people in the US and 11.7% are in grades 7 to 12. Based on my high school 10% of the students were involved with music and using my high school year book here is the break down of musicians.
12% strings
25% clarinets
12% trumpets
4% tubas
11% flutes
6% trombones
4% baritones
8% saxophones
5% french horns
6% percussion
3% bass clarinet
4% oboe
Note that these numbers came from a 1961 HS year book and a town of ~25,000 people. Could some current students supply some new numbers.
So if there is a pool of 3,600,000 student musicians apply the above percentages to estimate for each horn. Pianos are being ignored but I'm assuming that MOST piano players will play some other instrument during their school career.
The pool of post secondary players assuming that 2% of the school kids continue to play over their lifetime would be 460,000. Hence, one could guesstimate that there are 55,200 adult string players in the US. However, my feeling is that more of the school age string players continue to play as adults then do band members. I know for a fact that 17% of the string players from my class are still playing in symphony orchestras so the assumption that 2% of all students continue to play is low. I've not a clue how to refine the number.
This little analysis will likely illicit more derogatory comments about statistics, as an economist I'm used to that, but it's at least a start. I'll leave it to the current high school and college students to refine the analysis, I've got to go practice Schumann #2.
A great teacher gives you answers to questions
you don't even know you should ask.
Post Edited (2009-10-08 17:35)
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