Klarinet Archive - Posting 000780.txt from 2004/07

From: ormondtoby@-----.net (Ormondtoby Montoya)
Subj: Re: [kl] Re: Measuring sound character
Date: Tue, 20 Jul 2004 12:04:19 -0400

Georg=A0K=FChner wrote:

> I just wanted to give an example that a well
> trained person has the possibility to hear the
> slightest difference

Statistics can be misused --- as the old joke points out: A
statistician puts one hand in a kettle of boiling water and the other
hand in a freezer, and he declares "On average, I'm quite comfortable."

Nevertheless, consider the probabilities that can derived from the reed
anecdote if no other data exists:

If the teacher made a totally random guess, he would be either right or
wrong. Thus his chances of being correct would be 50%. How many
theories would you accept when the odds of it being correct were only
50/50?

The situation would be different if you had challenged him to guess
correctly while you played an assortment of 20 other reeds, some planed
and some sanded and some cut with a diamond saw.

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